The Canadian Housing and Mortgage Company is a leading provider of mortgage and housing statistics and trends in the Barrie and Orillia area. The Fall/ Winter report summarized here is divided into the areas of New Home Construction, Existing Home Market, Local Economy and Employment Forecasts, and Mortgage Trends.
New Home Construction
After a record year of growth in 2008 (60% increase in new home growth), it is forcasted that growth will slow through '09 and 2010 before picking up again in 2012. New home prices will also continue to grow in 2008 and throughout 2009. One major reason for this growth is that housing prices in Innisfil and Springwater Town are expected to be in the upper end range. In 2008, the average new home price in the Barrie Area will reach $353,000, and will increase by 2% in 2009 to an average price of $361,000.
Existing Homes Market
Sales of existing homes will moderate in 2008 from their 2007 levels. Specifically, sales of existing home in Barrie and Orillia should lower by 14%. This lowering of existing home sales can be explained by a weakening job market and higher existing home prices. Like sales of new homes, housing prices of existing homes will increase by 2% in 2009 and reach an average value of $274,000.
Barrie and Orillia Economy and Labour Market
According to the report, employment will ease in 2008, and begin to rise in '09. The unemployment rate will increase slightly both years, but this is due to many newcomers to the area who don't have work. It is also due to layoffs in Toronto that affect unemployment rates in Barrie and Orillia. Most of the decrease in employment is due to weakness in the trade, construction, insurance, finance and real estate. This said, in 2009, total employment is expected in increase 1%.
Barrie and Orillia Mortgage Rates
Mortgage rates are expected to remain low for much of 2009 as the Bank of Canada and Federal Reserve in the States lower their prime rates. This said, mortgages in Barrie and Orillia should begin to move upwards as 2009 progresses since prices of 5 year government bonds will rise. The rise in government bonds is due to a massive surplus of government debt. Mortgage rates and bond prices are very closely linked. So now is a great time to invest in a five year fixed term mortgage in Barrie and Orillia since mortgage rates are at all time lows housing prices continue to look attractive.
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